Published On: Sun, Aug 25th, 2019

Tropical Storm Dorian spaghetti model: Where could Hurricane Dorian strike? | World | News

The National Hurricane Centre (NHC) issued a tropical storm watch for Barbados on Sunday, warning conditions are likely to turn destructive within the next 48 hours. The NHC said it expects to increase these warnings to incorporate the Windward and Leeward Islands later today, and interests in Puerto Rico and Hispaniola “should monitor the progress of Dorian”. Read on for everything you need to know about the storm.

At 5am Atlantic Standard Time (9am UTC), Dorian was churning about 555 miles (890km) east-southeast of Barbados.

The storm is packing maximum sustained winds of 40mph (65km/h).

Dorian is ploughing forward in a westerly direction at 13mph (20km/h), a motion which is expected to continue before it turns west-northwest on Monday and Tuesday.

The NHC said: “Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Dorian could be near hurricane strength over the eastern Caribbean Sea.”

READ MORE: Hurricane ALERT: NOAA warns 2019 season could trigger more hurricanes

Warnings are in place for heavy rainfall, powerful winds and huge surf onshore.

The NHC expects the storm to produce total rain accumulations of two to four inches in portions of the Lesser Antilles, with possible isolated maximum amounts of six inches.

The warning added: “Swells generated by Dorian will be affecting portions of the Lesser Antilles by late Monday.

“These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.”

Meanwhile, scientists are monitoring an area of disorganised storms just off the coast of Florida.

The weather system, which the NHC gives a 60 percent chance of developing into a cyclone, has soaked the state’s southeast region and will continue to meander up the coast during the first half of the weekend.

Once the storm moves east over open water later in the weekend, there is a better chance of intensification.

The probability is high over the next few days that a tropical cyclone will form, but the forecast models currently keep the storm off shore.

Coastal areas in Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas should still monitor this system.

This is just the beginning of the most intense portion of the annual hurricane season.

The Atlantic and East Pacific hurricane seasons officially run from June through to the end of November.

However, the sharpest increase in activity usually comes between August 20 and September 11, which means authorities are on full alert to track incoming weather systems.

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