Published On: Wed, Sep 4th, 2019

Labour general election: Corbyn’s no confidence plot – Labour holds notional majority | Politics | News

On Wednesday, the shadow Brexit secretary Keir Starmer said: “We are not going to be voting with Johnson today.” He called the prime minister’s proposition to hold an election a “trap” to “hand control back to Boris Johnson” after the victory in Parliament on Tuesday. He said: “No one in Parliament trusts this man. We are not going to dance to his tune.”

However, the announcement came as a surprise, particularly as Labour Leader Jeremy Corbyn told a rally in Salford this week the party was “always ready” for a general election, suggesting he would back it.

If Labour wanted a general election, they would be likely to get one if it is put to a vote by Mr Johnson on Wednesday.

The PM would need two-thirds of Parliament to vote for the motion to hold an election, and given the loss of Tory majority, the opposition could easily achieve whichever goal they desired.

But this might be why Labour is hesitant to.

READ MORE: Brexit defeat: How did YOUR MP vote in no deal blocker last night?

If a general election manifests, it would put the power back into the hands of the public – and Labour isn’t polling well.

In the most recent public voting intention poll conducted by YouGov, Labour received a dismal 22 percent of the vote, well behind the Tories on 33 percent, and almost equal to the Lib Dems on 21 percent.

And bookies predict an election could be Labour’s worst result in 36 years, according to Sporting Index.

The bookmakers believe Jeremy Corbyn will lead Labour to their worst General Election result since Michael Foot’s ‘longest suicide note in history’ manifesto of 1983.

The political spread betting experts have priced Labour seats at 216, just seven more than in ’83, meaning they’d surrender 46 seats with all gains expected to go to the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats.

While polls and odds are notoriously unreliable, the risk of handing a majority back to the Tories right when the opposition has strengthened is too risky.

Better would be for Labour to call a motion of no confidence in the Government, which could happen as early as Monday, it has been suggested.

With the current state of the majorities in the House of Commons, there is a chance Labour would win the motion.

If that happened, a 14-day period would be triggered in which the Government – or an alternative, i.e., Labour – must win a new confidence vote in Parliament.

With a notional majority thanks to Tory MP Philip Lee defecting to the Lib Dems and 21 Tory rebels losing the whip, there is a chance Labour could achieve this, taking the reigns in Parliament.

The current state of parties:

  • Conservative: 289
  • Labour: 247
  • Independent: 36
  • * Scottish National Party: 35
  • * Liberal Democrat: 15
  • Democratic Unionist Party: 10
  • Sinn Féin: 7
  • * The Independent Group for Change: 5
  • * Plaid Cymru: 4
  • * Green Party: 1
  • Speaker: 1
  • Total number of seats: 650

* Indicates MPs likely to vote with Labour

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