Published On: Wed, Aug 28th, 2019

Hurricane Dorian: Latest NOAA update – Deadly Dorian to bring ‘dangerous’ storm surge | World | News

Hurricane Dorian is bearing down on Puerto Rico, a country which is still recovering from the devastating effects of Hurricane Maria two years ago. An 80-year-old man has died in Puerto Rico after falling from the roof of his home Public Safety Secretary Elmer Roman confirmed during a briefing Wednesday afternoon. Forecasters predict Dorian could make landfall on the populous eastern side of the USA territory today, after which the storm is forecast to head for the US possibly making landfall in Florida as a Category 3 hurricane.

Dorian is currently tracking near St Thomas in the US Virgin Islands with multiple observations of hurricane force winds reported in the region.

As of 2pm EDT (7pm BST) the National Hurricane Center issued an advisory on the recently upgraded Hurricane Dorian.

The current wind speed was recorded as 75mph and Dorian’s location was latitude 18.3 north, longitude 65.0 west which is 0 miles from St Thomas.

The present movement of the storm was recorded as northwestward travelling at 13mph and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or two.

The minimum central pressure was recorded as 997mb (29.44 inches).

As of 2pm EDT hurricane-force winds extended outward up to 20 miles (30 km) to the north and east of the center.

While tropical-storm-force winds extended outward up to 80 miles (130 km) primarily to the east of the center.

An elevated weather station on Buck Island just south of St. Thomas reported a sustained wind of 82 mph (132 km/h) and a gust of 111 mph (178 km/h).

Currently there are a number of hurricane warnings, hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning alerts active across the Caribbean.

Hurricane Warnings are in effect for Vieques and Culebra, the US Virgin Islands and the British Virgin Islands, meaning hurricane conditions are expected in these areas in the next six to 12 hours.

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Puerto Rico, meaning hurricane conditions are possible in this watch area in six to 12 hours.

Following Dorian’s future predicted path, the storm should continue to move near or over the US and British Virgin Islands this afternoon and then move over the open Atlantic well east of the southeastern Bahamas.

The latest NOAA warning added that hazardous rainfall, wind and surf conditions would affect land in the region.

Rainfall resulting from Dorian may potentially cause life-threatening flash floods.

The expected rainfall accumulations are:

  • Northern Leeward Islands: 1 to 3 inches
  • Eastern Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and the northwest Bahamas: 4 to 6 inches and isolated areas of 10 inches
  • Western Puerto Rico and the central Bahamas: 2 to 4 inches
  • Coastal sections of the Southeast United States: 4 to 8 inches and isolated areas of 10 inches

Hurricane conditions are ongoing over portions of the US Virgin Islands, and are expected over Vieques, Culebra, and the British Virgin Islands today.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in Puerto Rico this afternoon and tonight.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater.

Swells are expected to increase later today across the US and British Virgin Islands and along the southern coasts of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, and they could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Portions of southwest Puerto Rico are now under flash flood warnings as the outer bands continue to stream across the Island.

Flash flood warnings continue on St John and St Thomas as the most violent part of the storm continues to tear across the islands.

The red on the radar image below is where the most torrential rain is falling across the islands:

In the coming days, Dorian is anticipated to reach Category 3 status with winds reaching 115mph in the next 96 to 120 hours.

At that time, Dorian is expected to be located between latitude 27.7 north, longitude 77.7 west and latitude 28.6 north, longitude 80.3 west.

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